Hughes, T, Riley, RD ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8699-0735, Callaghan, MJ and Sergeant, JC (2021) Can prognostic factors for indirect muscle injuries in elite football (soccer) players be identified using data from preseason screening? An exploratory analysis using routinely-collected periodic health examination records. medRxiv. (Unpublished)

[img]
Preview
Text
Prognostic factors pre-print.pdf - Draft Version

Download (1MB) | Preview

Abstract

<jats:title>ABSTRACT</jats:title><jats:p>This study used periodic health examination (PHE) data from 134 outfield elite male football players, over 5 seasons (1<jats:sup>st</jats:sup> July 2013 to 19<jats:sup>th</jats:sup> May 2018). Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were used to determine prognostic associations between 36 variables and time-loss, lower extremity index indirect muscle injuries (I-IMIs). Non-linear associations were explored using fractional polynomials. During 317 participant-seasons, 138 I-IMIs were recorded. Univariable associations were determined for previous calf indirect muscle injury (IMI) frequency (OR=1.80, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.09 to 2.97), hamstring IMI frequency (OR=1.56, 95% CI=1.17 to 2.09), if the most recent hamstring IMI occurred &gt; 12 months but &lt; 3 years prior to PHE (OR= 2.95, 95% CI = 1.51 to 5.73) and age (OR =1.12 per 1-year increase, 95% CI = 1.06 to 1.18). Multivariable analyses demonstrated that if a player’s most recent previous hamstring IMI was &gt;12 months but &lt;3 years prior to PHE (OR= 2.24, 95% CI = 1.11 to 4.53), then this was the only variable with added prognostic value over and above age (OR=1.12 per 1-year increase, 95%CI = 1.05 to 1.18). Allowing non-linear associations conferred no advantage over linear ones. Therefore, PHE has limited use for injury risk prediction.</jats:p>

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: This is the current completed version, yet to be accepted or published. Please refer to medRxiv for any relevant information regarding this publication, or any updates. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.01.15.21249653v1.article-info
Subjects: R Medicine > R Medicine (General)
R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine
R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine > RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine
Divisions: Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences > School of Primary, Community and Social Care
Depositing User: Symplectic
Date Deposited: 26 Oct 2021 13:25
Last Modified: 26 Oct 2021 13:25
URI: https://eprints.keele.ac.uk/id/eprint/10179

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item