Keele Research Repository

Background and purpose: Significant dose deviations have been reported between planned (DP) and accumulated (DA) dose in prostate radiotherapy. This study aimed to develop multivariate analysis (MVA) models associating Grade 1 and 2 gastrointestinal (GI) toxicity with clinical and DP or DA dosimetric variables separately. Materials and methods: Dose volume (DV) metrics were compared between DA and DP for 150 high-risk prostate cancer patients. MV models were generated from significant clinical and dosimetric variables (p < 0.05) at univariate level. Dose-based-region of interest (DB-ROI) metrics were included. Model performance was measured, and additional subgroup analysis were performed. Results: Rectal DA demonstrated a higher intermediate-high dose (V30-65 Gy and DB-ROI at 15-50 mm) compared to DP. Conversely, at the very high dose region, rectal DA (V75 Gy and DB-ROI at 5-10 mm) were significantly lower. In MVA, rectal DB-ROI at 10 mm was predictive for Grade ≥ 1 GI toxicity for DA and DP. Age, rectal DA for D0.03 cc, and rectal DP for DB-ROI 10 mm were predictors for Grade 2 GI toxicity. Subgroup analysis revealed that patients ≥ 72 years old and a rectal DA of ≥ 78.2 Gy were highly predictive of Grade 2 GI toxicity. Conclusions: The dosimetric impact of a higher dose rectal dose in DA due to volumetric changes was minimal and was not predictive of detrimental clinical toxicity apart from rectal D0.03 cc ≥ 78.2 Gy for Grade 2 GI toxicity. The use of the DB-ROI method can provide equivalent predictive power as the DV method in toxicity prediction.