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The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability.

The future of Viscum album L. in Europe will be shaped by temperature and host availability. Thumbnail


Abstract

Viscum album L. is a plant of great importance due to its influence on the host trees and, by extension, entire ecosystems. The species is also significant to humans-on the one hand, because of its use in medicine, and on the other, because of the growing threat it poses to the stability of conifer stands. Therefore, it is important to recognize the future range of three mistletoe subspecies (Viscum album subsp. album, V. album subsp. austriacum, and V. album subsp. abietis). Modelling of the potential range of these subspecies was performed using MAXENT software. Locations were collected from literature and databases. A total number of 3335 stands were used. Bioclimatic data for the current conditions and three future scenarios (SSP 1.26, SSP 3.70, SSP 5.85) were downloaded from the CHELSA database. The results confirmed that the temperature is the key variable on the potential range of the analysed subspecies. V. album subsp. abietis is withdrawing from its range according to all scenarios. In the case of V. album subsp. austriacum, a slight range shift is visible. Only the V. album subsp. album will expand non-directionally. The reason is most likely a very large number of host species and greater genetic variability compared to the subspecies found on conifers.

Acceptance Date Sep 28, 2022
Publication Date Oct 12, 2022
Publicly Available Date Mar 29, 2024
Journal Scientific Reports
Print ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher Nature Publishing Group
Pages 17072 - ?
DOI https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21532-6
Publisher URL https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-21532-6

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