Chelley-Steely, Patricia, Lambertides, N and Steeley, JM (2016) Order flow imbalances at the turn of the year. International Review of Financial Analysis, 43. pp. 76-95. ISSN 1057-5219

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The paper provides evidence of a turn of the year effect in the order flow imbalance of both retail and institutional investors. In December there is net selling pressure which is reversed in January. We examine high frequency intraday order flow information and find that the changes in order flow imbalance between December and January are related to firm risk factors and characteristics. We find that retail order flow imbalances are associated with a wide range of risk characteristics including beta, illiquidity and unsystematic risk. Imbalances in institutional order flow are associated with only a small number of risk variables. We show that these order flow changes are important because risk premiums are elevated in January. Our results are robust to the effects of decimalization.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Order flow imbalance; Risk; Turn of the year
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Divisions: Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences > Keele Management School
Depositing User: Symplectic
Date Deposited: 19 May 2017 11:06
Last Modified: 17 Apr 2019 15:44

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