Hong, C, Salanti, G, Morton, S, Riley, R, Chu, H, Kimmel, SE and Chen, Y (2020) Testing small study effects in multivariate meta-analysis. Biometrics. ISSN 1541-0420

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Small study effects occur when smaller studies show different, often larger, treatment effects than large ones, which may threaten the validity of systematic reviews and meta-analyses. The most well-known reasons for small study effects include publication bias, outcome reporting bias and clinical heterogeneity. Methods to account for small study effects in univariate meta-analysis have been extensively studied. However, detecting small study effects in a multivariate meta-analysis setting remains an untouched research area. One of the complications is that different types of selection processes can be involved in the reporting of multivariate outcomes. For example, some studies may be completely unpublished while others may selectively report multiple outcomes. In this paper, we propose a score test as an overall test of small study effects in multivariate meta-analysis. Two detailed case studies are given to demonstrate the advantage of the proposed test over various naive applications of univariate tests in practice. Through simulation studies, the proposed test is found to retain nominal Type I error rates with considerable power in moderate sample size settings. Finally, we also evaluate the concordance between the proposed test with the naive application of univariate tests by evaluating 44 systematic reviews with multiple outcomes from the Cochrane Database.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: The final accepted manuscript and all relevant information regarding copyrights and more can be found at; https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/biom.13342
Uncontrolled Keywords: comparative effectiveness research, composite likelihood, outcome reporting bias, publication bias, small study effect, systematic review
Subjects: R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine
R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine > RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine
Divisions: Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences > School of Primary, Community and Social Care
Related URLs:
Depositing User: Symplectic
Date Deposited: 12 Aug 2020 14:29
Last Modified: 16 Sep 2020 14:43
URI: https://eprints.keele.ac.uk/id/eprint/8512

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